"Electric vehicles of today are less costly than in 1990s, but if you compare them with the other vehicles out there they are still too expensive."
Those were the words of Toyota Executive Vice President, Takeshi Uchiyamada, at the Frankfurt Motor Show which opened to the press today. "Unless there is a very big breakthrough in battery costs I don't think electric vehicles can take a large market share," he elaborated.
This comes shortly after a story published by Bloomberg about those very batteries. According to the report, Toyota has secretly been testing lithium-ion batteries in a fleet of Prius hatchbacks for the past three years. Their study concluded that the li-ion batteries are safe and reliable for automotive applications, and that they provide a small fuel economy benefit over currently used nickel-metal hydride packs.
This week, Toyota also unveiled a plug-in Prius hybrid, which would utilize li-ion technology and reportedly charge in just 90 minutes from a conventional household outlet. The plug-in will be leased for fleet use in early 2010. However, Japan's largest automaker has no plans to switch technologies completely, as they've invested heavily in nickel-metal hydride and they say the additional costs of li-ion batteries often outweigh the benefits.
A low cost, long-range, fast-charging battery is still the holy grail of the electric vehicle movement, and while plug-in hybrids and EVs continue to garner public interest, the developments in battery technology alluded to by Uchiyamada are likely the governing factor in mass market adoption.
Sources: CNET, Autoguide, Bloomberg
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By Jason M. Hendler Posted: 9/15/2009 11:19am PDT
By Rick Posted: 9/15/2009 1:52pm PDT
Take a $10,000 Accent, add a $10,000 battery and we have an electric vehicle for about $20,000. The cost of an electric drive train is probably less than that of an internal combustion engine. $20,000 is less than many compact cars having useless things like alloy wheels, foglamps, and talking computers.
By omnimoeish Posted: 9/15/2009 10:47pm PDT
I think with a 5 kWh NiMH (don't use short lived Lithium ion yet) battery instead of the .6 kWh or whatever they currently use and add an extension cord, make the motor a little bigger, done! Even if all that costs you $6-7,000, the subsidies will drop that premium in half and then the gas savings will pay for the premium in just a year or two. Why is this so hard to understand?
By Alec Posted: 9/16/2009 1:40am PDT
By Desertstraw Posted: 9/16/2009 1:46am PDT
The conditions of the settlement between Toyota and Chevron, who owned the NiMH patent at the time, which stopped the production of electric cars by Toyota have never been made public.
It has been suggested that Toyota prefers hybrids like the Prius which brings lots of expensive repair and maintenance business to its dealers. One reason that traditional auto makes may not want electric cars is that they make dealerships superfluous and virtually eliminate auto mechanics. Wal-Mart and similar stores could sell them just like computers or refrigerators. They are take home, plug in, and forget about it.
By hsr0601 Posted: 9/16/2009 9:46pm PDT
By JohnQPublic Posted: 9/19/2009 8:40am PDT
No, the Prius does not bring "lots of expensive repair" to the dealerships. The Prius maintenance cost is VERY low.
The Prius transmission has just 22 moving parts, no clutch, no torque converter, no CVT belts, no gear-shifting wear-and-tear. More reliable than a regular-car tranny with over 100 moving parts.
The Prius has no timing belt, no alternator, no starter motor, no solenoid to wear out and need repair.
The Prius uses regenerative braking, which saves brake pad wear tremendously-- The brake pads don't need replacement until well over 100,000 miles. Try that in a regular car and see what happens.
Because the engine isn't running all the time the car is in operation, the engine experiences less heat stress, which means the coolant lasts 8 years.
Frankly, after being spoiled by the low maintenance costs of the Prius, I'm NEVER going back to a regular car.
Considering that the hybrid system is warrantied for up to 10 years / 150,000 miles, the dealership wouldn't make a single dime replacing warrantied hybrid parts in any case.
As far as sticking with NiMH batteries go, remember the Cobasys patent on large-format NiMH batteries will be expiring soon, which will allow Toyota to use them for PHEVs at significant lower costs than Lion batteries.
By Doug Korthof Posted: 9/21/2009 9:44am PDT
Yet we drive all-electric EVs every day, powered by our rooftop solar system; the only thing stopping other solar homes from driving on their own sunlight is that there are no plug-in cars for sale any more.
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