Chevrolet Volt arrives in China for use at World Expo 2010 ShanghaiEnlarge Photo
Second, in working toward better air quality, it reduces a serious threat to its social stability and a situation that has become an indictment of those in power over the last two decades.
Third, it steers the country in a new direction after two decades of technology-transfer agreements with foreign automakers have largely failed to bring Chinese carmakers up to North American and European standards.
In other words, "forget about securing combustion-engine know-how from Volkswagen or GM or Toyota," Dunne said.
"China could seize the opportunity to lead the world in a game-changing technology: electric cars."
A few years ago, he noted, in pursuit of this goal, the country put in place very aggressive "guidelines" (or strong suggestions) for foreign automakers wanting to build electric cars in China.
Venucia E30 (Chinese version of Nissan Leaf electric car), Guangzhou Auto Show [photo: ChinaAutoWeb]Enlarge Photo
Three specific terms in particular were notable. First, all non-Chinese automakers had to form new joint ventures specific to electric cars.
Second, and crucially, all intellectual property developed by that joint venture would be owned equally by the Chinese partner and the foreign automaker—unlike the more limited technology-transfer agreements of the previous decades.
And finally, the electric cars built by those ventures had to carry Chinese brand names—which is why the Nissan Leaf is sold in China as the Venucia e30.
Foreign makers simply found those terms unreasonable. While most complied with the guidelines and formed joint ventures, they stopped there: almost no new electric-car intellectual property was developed.
Buick Velite concept, 2016 Guangzhou auto showEnlarge Photo
Today, more than 90 percent of electric cars built and sold in China are from native firms—and their technology remains crude, basic, and far from competitive.
That's why China is looking to reform the rules—and, Dunne said, why it lifted a similar 50-percent ownership cap on battery companies last summer as well.
The goal is to encourage real investment in electric cars and close the widening gap between Chinese companies' mediocre EV technology and their high production volumes.
So the country's leadership has decided it's willing to encourage investment and innovation on Chinese soil by relaxing the intellectual-property-sharing and Chinese branding requirements, Dunne explained.
The lobbyists for global automakers (yes, he said, they exist in China too) have no doubt been advocating for precisely this outcome.
And, Dunne concluded, "If China does relax the rules, we can expect the German makers, General Motors (with the Chevy Bolt EV or its Buick-branded equivalent) and even Tesla to move quickly to build higher quality, more premium electric vehicles in China."