Let's be real: How many of you out there have ever driven a single mile on E85 ethanol fuel?
Very, very, very few of you, most likely. The fuel composed of 85 percent ethanol blended with 15 percent gasoline is available only in a handful of Midwestern states.
Yet a bill now under consideration by a panel in the U.S. Senate would mandate that 90 percent of vehicles sold in the U.S. by 2016 be capable of running on E85, or what are known colloquially as "flex-fuel" cars.
The measure was introduced in January by Senator Tom Harkin (D-IA), and is cosponsored by three other farm-state senators: Al Franken (D-MN), Tim Johnson (D-SD), and Amy Klobuchar (D-MN).
It is broadly similar to a 2009 House bill that required 80 percent flex-fuel capability by 2015. The Senate panel, however, has not yet scheduled a vote on Harkin's bill.
Predictably, the auto industry is pushing back. In this case, though, the data is on their side.
A representative of the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, representing 12 of the largest automakers selling in the U.S., points out that fewer than 2 percent of gas stations offer E85, and those are clustered in a handful of Midwest states.
Automakers have pledged to increase the number of vehicles they offer that accept E85, signing a 2006 pledge to make 50 percent of its production flex-fuel capable by 2012.
This year, for example, every 2011 Buick Regal will offer flex-fuel capability as standard. Similarly, Ford doubled its production of flex-fuel vehicles between 2006 and 2011.
But the industry will still be far from attaining 90 percent capability under current plans. While more than 8 million vehicles on U.S. roads can run on E85, virtually none actually do.
Ethanol has a lower energy content than gasoline, so the more ethanol you add, the lower the gas mileage gets. That means that even if a gallon of E85 costs the same as a gallon of gasoline, the cost-per-mile is significantly higher.
Carmakers originally liked flex-fuel vehicles because adding less than $100 of equipment to make a vehicle flex-fuel compatible was a cheap way to get extra credits toward meeting Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) gas-mileage requirements.
It didn't matter if not a single drop of ethanol ever entered the tank--which it pretty much never did--they still got the credits. But the credits only last through 2015.
Starting in 2016, automakers will only get credit for building flex-fuel cars if they can show the cars are actually running on E85.
Which at the current pace of ethanol production and distribution, seems pretty unlikely indeed.
The new bill, says the AAM's representative, amounts to nothing more than a tax on car buyers. Yes, their cars could run on E85, but they likely never will.
Much more likely is that they'll run on E15, which adds another 5 percent ethanol to the mixture we all burn today, which can contain up to 10 percent ethanol.
The EPA has approved E15 for use in cars built from 2001 to the present, but a House measure barred the EPA from proceeding with the change. The more-ethanol-friendly Senate has not approved that measure.
And so the drama--we call it democracy--continues.
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I have. We use nothing but cleaner-burning E85 in our work vehicles, a Chevy Impala and a Ford F-150.
I have looked into E85 here in the Boston area. Basically there are just a few E85 stations (at the airport for example) and the price of the E85 is significantly cheaper than gasoline, which seems to be calculated to make the $/mile price the same for gasoline and E85.
I like your argument for E15 versus E85. But we seemed to get to a level of E10 more quickly than I would have guessed. Is there any chance that we should be preparing for E20 compatibility at this time? Is there such a thing as E20?
Thanks
John C. Briggs
It really seems like we are holding Alt. Fuels back by forcing them to have a petroleum based fuel mixed with them. Also there is the issue of the fuels dispersing once they are mixed so there is an inconsistent mixture passing through the injectors at any given time.
Not sure why you would wait to see how things go with E15 before planning for E20. After all, it takes many years to replace the fleet of US cars. Better start planning now if there is going to be any hope of E20.
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