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How Does The 2011 Chevy Volt Get 230 MPG? By Making Assumptions

 
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General Motors' mysterious 230 logo

General Motors' mysterious 230 logo

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UPDATE: GM confirms that the 2011 Chevrolet Volt will get 230 mpg city, and a composite fuel economy (city and highway) of more than 100 mpg according to draft regulations being developed at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

If the rumors are correct, this morning General Motors CEO Fritz Henderson will finally reveal what the company's mysterious '230' ad campaign was about. It appears to be the official mileage rating for GM's upcoming 2011 Chevrolet Volt extended-range electric car.


A number like that seems outlandish, absurd. How can the US Environmental Protection Agency possibly measure fuel consumption that low? The answer, it turns out, is all in the assumptions.

40 miles, no gasoline

The Volt, remember, stores energy in both a gasoline tank and a battery pack. And it will always prioritize using electricity from the battery to power itself before it ever switches on the gas engine. Unlike a conventional hybrid car, though, the battery pack is usually recharged by plugging the Volt into a wall socket.

But the Volt's 16-kilowatt-hour battery pack only gives it 40 miles of electric range. To eliminate "range anxiety," after that, the Volt switches on its engine to run a generator that provides power to its electric motor. That gives another 300-plus miles of range.

So depending on how many of the Volt's miles are run on grid power, and how many by burning gasoline in the engine to generate its own electricity.

GM often cites the statistic that more than 70 percent of all US vehicles travel less than 40 miles a day. If your usage falls within that level, your Volt would never turn on its engine--and never use a drop of gasoline. That's gas mileage of, well, infinity.

On the other hand, if you drive a Volt 140 miles every single day, still recharging it at night, it would travel 40 miles on grid power and 100 miles on gasoline. If the car gets 50 miles per gallon with the engine on, that's two gallons burned, 140 miles total, or 70 mpg.

The more daily miles over that first 40, the higher the proportion of gasoline burned--and the lower the overall mileage.

What to assume about usage?

Which leads to the big question: What assumptions should the EPA make in its emissions and gas-mileage tests about how the Volt is used (also known as the car's "duty cycle")?

For decades, gasoline cars (and hybrids) have been testing using two cycles: city and highway. That gives us the two quoted EPA mileage ratings, and the EPA also calculates a "blended" number for overall usage. The distance driven doesn't really matter.

But for the Volt, mileage assumptions become much more political.  If the EPA tests a Volt over a cycle of less than 40 miles, it will never burn any gasoline, and it'll get that "infinite" mileage. The daily distance matters much more for the Volt than for a gas engined car.

The answer appears to be the EPA has adopted a cycle described by GM-Volt.com, among others, that assumes the Volt is driven until the battery is discharged--and then slightly more on gasoline power.

Your mileage may vary

A similar test routine proposed by Mike Duoba at Argonne National Laboratories repeatedly drives the car on four EPA highway test cycles until the battery is discharged, then drives one city cycle--totaling 51 miles. (The EPA city cycle is roughly 11 miles, the highway cycle about 10 miles.)

If the engine runs for 11 miles at 50 mpg, that will use 0.22 gallons of gasoline. But that amount is used over a total travel distance of 51 miles, which works out to 232 mpg. Sounds like 230 mpg to us!

In the end, we can only return to that old saying: Your mileage may vary. And in the case of the 2011 Chevrolet Volt, it may vary a whole lot more than in any car running purely on gasoline. But, hey, no one ever said being green meant easy math ....

2010 chevrolet volt 019

2010 chevrolet volt 019

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[GM-Volt via TheCollegeDriver]





 
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Comments (26)
  1. Excellent, clear explanation. Thanks. I wonder what the fuel tank capacity it.
     
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  2. From a driver experience, I wonder how one would figure out how full or empty a tank is in such a car. Seems driving behaviors could fluctuate considerably too for one that isn't doing their daily routine commute. Think about a sales person who drives a lot all day and wants a 230mpg car only to find out that fluctuating mpgs only causes massive confusion about when to refuel the car. This should be interesting. We really are entering a whole new paradigm.
     
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  3. An important part of figuring out the driving economics of EV's is how much electricity will be added to a person’s typical monthly electric bill. Some type of standard assumption would have to be developed for how often a car will need to be charged. I have to drive 36 miles each way to work, so I'd have to be charging the Volt about 6 times a week probably. Understanding what this would do to my electric bill will have a large impact on my decision to move to an EV.
     
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  4. @Gre / @Chris: I suspect the Volt will have a "range" gauge that alerts the driver to # of miles remaining for the combined powertrain.
    And I have heard anecdotally (GM won't say) that the tank size is roughly 8 gallons, but they may still be tweaking that.
     
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  5. @David: Depending on your local electricity rates, a mile driven on grid power costs about 1 cent to 3 cent. So figure your weekly mileage and go from there.
    (This is, needless to say, much cheaper than a mile driven on gasoline at 15 to 20 cents/gallon depending on the car's mileage and the price of gas.)
     
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  6. @John - Imagine half the population of US buying GM VOLT which now gives 230mpg for an average driver and costs far less than the 15 to 20 cents/gallon .. what do you think will happen to the energy (electricity) prices? Unless an alternative energy source is in use to generate that electricity, an all electric vehicle is only a carbon hog, instead of being a carbon hog on the road, its dissipating carbon at energy plants!
    (contd..)
     
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  7. (contd.. from above)
    So is it really fair to compare EPA mileage rating using GM's estimate vs. other hybrids on road?
    EPA's mpg ratings are to protect the environment, not to make the car driving cheaper for Americans to start driving even more!
    Or is that just another lame attempt by GM to try and fool the world?
     
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  8. @Vikas: Given the constraints on scaling up production of large-format lithium-ion cells for electric drive cars, very few utilities are worried about being able to handle the increase in demand for electricity. It'll be decades before "half the population of US" is driving Volts.
     
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  9. @vikas (cont'd):
    More than that, for the US grid there's a very good joint study by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) and the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC). See here:
    http://www.greencarreports.com/blog/1019159_how-green-is-that-plug-in-depends-where-you-plug-it-in
     
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  10. The assumption that any distance traveled not using gas gives you infinite mpg is absord. Using this logic anyone running a car on any other power source be it electric, hydrogen, or peddeling the vehicle could say they get infinite or 1000s of MPG. The cost of the other energy source must be factored in. So the real question is we need a standard for how to do that.
     
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  11. Thanks for the article. Very informative. I agree that the EPA tests really aren't that valid for this type of car but if I'm GM I'd be splashing that 230 number everywhere possible. Just when you actually sell the car make sure it's recorded that you've clearly explained why the mileage will vary greatly.
     
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  12. I'm expecting a huge marketing backlash once the public figures out what a con this is.
    How stupid does GM think people are?
    People are going to be pissed when they realize that they can't drive 2300 miles on 10 gallons of gas.
    Not only that, but where does electricity come from? The overflow (the kind that would be used to recharge cars if/when electric cars become common) comes from burning NATURAL GAS.
     
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  13. Michael (post #10) - I'm surprised you didn't boil it down to the simplest common denominator yourself... the new standard for comparison has to be $MONEY$. How much does it cost me to drive per mile.
     
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  14. Assumptions: 16 kWh battery, charging efficiency: 90%
    Full charge: 17.78 kWh (16kWh/.9)
    National average electricity cost: $0.115/kWh.
    Full charge cost: $2.04 (17.78 kWh X $0.115/kWh) to go 40 miles
    Gas cost: $2.50
    Equivalent MPG: 48.9 miles/gallon ($2.50/$2.04 * 40mpg)
    The numbers are better for me (my avg cost/kWh: $0.085), and get even better when the price of gas goes up.
    My conclusion: The Volt averages (cost-wise) about 50mpg.
     
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  15. @RW: The Volt only uses half of its 16 kWh pack for its 40-mile range, at least at the start of its life, to err on the very conservative side for battery life.
    So, your Volt number should be roughly half the cost.
    Also curious about the $2.50 gasoline cost to go 40 miles. Average US car is roughly 25 mpg, and at a gas cost of $2.50 (for neatness' sake), that works for to 1.6 gallons or $4.00 ...
     
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  16. I have a question about a different piece of this equation - What driving assumptions are included in estimating the 40-mile battery only range? (e.g., acceleration rates, top speed, terrain, environmental conditions, passenger weights, etc.) Or does it assume using the EPA city cycle or highway cycle?
     
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  17. I think RW's analysis is the best I've seen. The charging efficiency seems on the high side. My costs per kWh are higher especially when I include the distribution charges. For me, it looks like it would be cheaper to run gas.
    JV. Why would GM underate the range by 40 miles? It still makes the claim of $0.01 to $0.03 per mile seem overly optimistic. Especially if you factor in lower charging discharging efficiencies.
     
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  18. I guess the thing to do to measure the efficiency would be to measure the actual range you can get out of the 16KWH battery pack when new. Then consider that the optimal case.
    JV, are you saying when the vehicle has new batteries the range will be 80 highway miles?
     
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  19. The volt's battery discharge will be electronically limited to about 60% of capacity. This is to preserve battery life over time. GM wants the volt battery to last 100,000 miles, and yet still deliver 40 miles electric at the end of that time. They acheive this by never letting the battery get really low (and thus, you'll never be able to go absolutely as far as it theoretically could go, on battery).
     
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  20. This car does not charge the batteries as it runs down the road. You have to plug it in somewhere and recharge the battery system. How and who would allow you to use up there electricity to recharge your batteries while on a trip/vacation. Poor system
     
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  21. The obvious solution is that the EPA is going to have to come up with a more Honest standard that addresses the flaws in GMs publicity. A rating that measures the MPG when the Generator is actually being USED separate from the Electric motor only usage.
    This seems obvious which means, of course, that GM will argue with the EPA for as long as their lawyers and publicity flacks can drag it out.
    And, in the end we'll end up with something that is as close to meaningless as possible.
     
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  22. To GRE, John's explanation is clear and concise because it is taken directly from Lyle Dennis at GM-Volt.com who broke down the numbers to arrive at the 232 mpg. He explains in great detail several days ago how GM would get their numbers before the announcement even occured. Read it here. http://gm-volt.com/2009/08/08/what-is-230/
     
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  23. Jim -
    Many municipalites are installing charge points for EVs as are some businesses/hotels.
    One hotel began installing them when the Tesla was announced (way before it hit the street).
    One of our local towns installed a free charge point for EVs some time ago for those driving "homebrews". They decided the few bucks each month gave them a good return for helping to get us off gas.
    Expect to see "pay as you go" charge points along your vacation route in the near(ish) future.
     
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  24. Knowing human nature, I wonder how many Volt owners will "forget" to plug in the car each night and simply run on the power supplied by the gasoline engine. Maybe they had their hands full of groceries, or had to park outside or were just in a hurry to get in the house. The bottom line is that these "average" fuel efficiency might be quite a bit lower than the theoretical efficiency.
     
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  25. So, the big news comes down to this. GM has a battery that can power a car for 40 miles.
    Now, stick a few of those in a car and get rid of the gas engine and you've got yourself something I might buy. As for recharging times, if they made the battery a quick-change module that I could just swap out at any gas station then they'd really have something to talk about.
     
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  26. Don't take the 40 miles electric range as a given. The average driver will be lucky to get 20.
    The EPA City Cycle turns off A/C, heat, stereo, head/tail lamps, rr defrost, in-dash LCD screens, wipers, infotainment systems, heated and air conditioned seats, etc. Hmmm…. how much power do they sap - or are people going to do without, for $40k+? Also, the City Cycle limits speed (56mph) and acceleration. On an electric vehicle, these factors will have a much more direct effect on the range.
     
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