How Many Consumers Are Really Ready to Switch to Electric Cars?

 
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2011 Chevrolet Volt

2011 Chevrolet Volt

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A study conducted by the energy research and advisory firm E Source has revealed that as much as 85 percent of consumers could be ready to buy plug-in electric cars, provided the conditions were right. 

The data for the report was collected from the Nielsen Energy Survey, which asked 3,200 energy consumers across the U.S. their views on energy saving, consumption and transport.  

As with any study however, the headline statistics doesn’t always represent the full findings particularly well. 

Dig deeper, and the survey reveals some more interesting figures. 

Just 3% of the respondents said they would purchase an electric car right away, while 57% of ose questioned said they would buy an electric car when their current vehicle needed replacement. 

A further 25%, making up the 85% total cited in the headline, came from consumers who said they would buy a plug-in electric vehicle when the technology had become mainstream. In other words, when the purchase costs had dropped and range increased. 

Interestingly, the study also concluded that younger respondents were more likely to be open to purchasing an electric car to older consumers, contradicting Nissan's own study suggesting the average electric car buyer was a little older.

2011 Nissan Leaf

2011 Nissan Leaf

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With gas prices increasing to over $4 a gallon in some areas, the willingness to move to pure electric or plug-in hybrid vehicles is hardly surprising, but the survey also notes that for the average consumer the need to be able to rapidly and reliably extend the range of any electric car is still a barrier to adoption. 

In other words, range anxiety appears alive and well among those who don’t already drive electric vehicles. The further a respondent drove in a day, the higher the range anxiety. That means either a dominence of range-extended electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids, or more rapid-charge capability and support

What does the survey tell us? Are electric vehicles on the brink of mass adoption, or will Obama’s plan of 1 million plug-in and hybrid vehicles on the road by 2015 remain just a pipe-dream?

Toyota Prius Plug-In

Toyota Prius Plug-In

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We’d love to think mass-adoption is just around the corner, but with just 3% of respondents  ready and willing to hand over money for electric cars right now we’re going to have to remain pessimistic, at least until gasoline becomes so cost-prohibitive or electric cars drop dramatically in price. 

There is at least one clear sign from the study: there is a market for electric vehicles. Now all the automotive industry has to do is to turn the 85% willing consumers into owners, something some automakers are more keen to do than others. 

[E Source]





 
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Comments (14)
  1. it is as i have said all along. the demand is there. the main problem right now is that we still arent able to produce but a handful.
    at least partly because of the tsunami, the leaf is still in low supply. the coda isnt even for sale, and i guess wont be until 2012.
    hopefully we will get some others ready, the ford focus for example.
    while price may be the biggest hurdle today in terms of someone purchasing an ev, it is not really a hurdle.
    by that, i mean that by the time we can start producing more, that price will "magically" come down just enough to bring in the next group of buyers.
    my prediction still remains. 10 years after the release of our first evs, few people will want to purchase a NEW GAS CAR.
     
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  2. I guess buying an EV requires a bit of a leap of faith but with world oil production all but maxed out, demand for oil from India and China booming and the Middle East in turmoil I think so does investing a lot of money in an ICE powered vehicle at this point. Skyrocketing oil prices will convince more and more car buyers to consider alternatives.
     
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  3. Thanks for writing up this article, Nikki. I am a manager of research at E Source and oversee our plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) efforts. If anyone has any questions about our survey or our PEV research in general, please feel free to contact me (bryan_jungers@esource.com).
     
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  4. Those studies hardly contradicted one another - one asked whether the person would be "open to buying" while the other referred to actual purchases, which obviously, given the high prices, would include more older, more affluent types. That magical (and strictly PR) "million electrcs" would accomplish not much other than a large amount of govt subsidies and folks paying way too much for their next vehicle.
    Electrics, despite claims otherwise, will NOT be reduced in price simply by mass production. I thought everyone by now realized that battery costs are the obstacle - the Tesla Model S battery pack for the 230 and 300 mile ranges will cost between thirty and forty thousand. And that uses very heavily mass produced battery cells.
     
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  5. Dear Kent Beuchert,
    You are right!
    The battery cost of the Leaf is $19,000 giving it the total price of ~$33,000.
    As long as electric cars cost more that $15,000 over 10 years will be bought by less than 2% of car buyers worldwide. That's like nothing.
    Only Better Place has the ultimate solution.. selling the car without the battery thus cheaper than $15,000 and giving it unlimited range.
    The Chinese realized that this works and yesterday a deal was made that will get Better Place 2,300 battery switch stations in China by 2015..
    ff
     
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  6. 04/27/11. Better Place announced an agreement with China Southern Power Grid Co. (CSG), the world's eighth largest utility company. Before the end of the year, Better Place will open a battery switch station and joint education center in the southern city of Guangzhou. Local car manufacturers Guangzhou Automobile Industry Group, will produce electric cars with switchable batteries. State Grid said they would build over 2,300 switching sites by 2015. China Southern Grid Chairman Zhao Jianguo said that the battery-switch model may become mainstream in China. CSG's service area spans five provinces, one million square kilometers, and 230 million people in Southern China..
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Better_Place#China
    ff
     
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  7. are you a better place salesman ?
     
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  8. kent,
    reread my post #1. this is EXACTLY what will happen.
    the biggest hurdle at this exact moment is production.
    battery prices will come down in price AS NEEDED. this is despite better place salesmen, range anxiety fear mongrels, and every other notion.
    just watch and see how many new gas cars are purchased 10 years from now.
    the evs are already better vehicles than their ice counterparts.
    just remember how sales work in real life. the sellers want to sell you as many times as they can. they will only make the cars as good as they need to be in order to sell what they have manufactured.
    the price does not need to be reduced today. next year or the year after, that will change.
     
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  9. Better Place goes online in 8 months
    with an order of 100,000 Renault Fluence ZE
    The battery costs Nissan $18,000 to be halved by 2020.
    $~33,000 will fall to $~24,000
    Still too expensive.
    Better Place will be selling cars at less than $15,000 by the end of 2011. Doesn't need to wait for 2020.
     
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  10. By 2020 Better Place will be selling SUV's at $5,000
    at a monthly contract of half of what you pay today for fuel per month because of falling battery prices.
    Just look at the following at 24min:55seconds
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hk-aVB7LgFI
    I'm not Better Place sales person, i just thing that their idea of selling the car without the battery (+BSS's) makes sense ,selling the car with the battery doesn't make sense AT ALL..
    ff
     
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  11. there is a high depreciation of the batteries since they will improve quickly. but probably not as quickly as computers progress. people still buy computers.
    what you seem to be overlooking is that there is a huge infrastructure cost, and labor cost with a "better place" system that is absent with a system where you own the battery in your car.
    in the long run, batteries will become cheap enough that it wont be that much of an issue. so we are spending a lot up front to build this infrastructure that will become less and less useful as time passes.
     
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  12. agassi talks about the car needing to be cheap enough at initial purchase time to get people interested.
    at this point, we have tons more interest than we need. in other words, demand GREATLY outstrips supply.
    therefore, the first and foremost thing that we need to do is get production up, so as to meet demand.
     
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  13. each year, the battery will go down in price and up in range. what i have stated from the very beginning is that we need to have a standard outer box in our evs for our batteries.
    so that when a consumer's battery no longer serves his purpose, he takes his car into the battery shop, buys the latest and greatest battery, that simply plugs right back into his car without modifying the car.
    this is really the key to the entire puzzle of battery ownership and replacement.
     
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  14. so, will people pay more for their battery this year, and find next year's model cheaper and better ? ABSOLUTELY. this is true of most everything.
    i guess we could all wait until we die before we purchase anything.
    or we could buy our current item under the guise that its current price is worth its utility to us.
    a person will simply buy his ev with the current battery. the battery will last so long. then a new battery is placed in it, if it makes sense to do so.
    much like replacing the engine today. sometimes the car may merit it. sometimes the condition is past the point of putting much money in it.
    batteries will plummet in price and go up in utility as time progresses.
     
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